Fast forward to the present time and we see history replaying itself once again. This time the young upstart is named Senator Barrack Obama and the Steward of the past administration is Senator John McCain. But the issue is still the same. The economy.
As our jittery market sways back and forth like a tire on a frayed rope ready to break, Americans are pushing the economy to the front of the issue line. This was most evident in the first Presidential Debate moderated by Jim Lehrer this past Friday. The subject matter was supposed to be "foreign policy", presumably John McCains' strongest position. However, from the very first question, it became clear that the economy was going to dominate. When Obama flat-out accused McCain of being wrong on the fundamentals of the economy, moderator Jim Lehrer asked Obama to "say it directly to him," meaning McCain. After Barrack repeated his accusation face to face, McCain gave the funniest statement of the debate. Turning to Lehrer, he bitterly questioned, "You afraid I couldn't hear him?"
Senator McCain then tried desperately to divert attention away from the economy by injecting war stories and dropped the names of every politician and political player he's ever worked with from Henry Kissinger to General Petraus. Obama would have no part of it however, At ever opportunity he steered the conversation back to the economy. The approval monitors CNN had given to the audience told the tale. When the economy was the issue, Barrack's approval soared while McCain's faltered.
From my stand point, the debate went very well for Senator Obama despite some high points for McCain on taxes and "the Surge". If the economy doesn't turn around before election (and it's hard to see how it could), McCain will continue to suffer for it. Just as it's hard for Barrack to separate himself from his past, Senator McCain will have a difficult time separating himself from the deregulation and policies (such as Social Security Privatization) that he once supported. As shady as some people find Obama's past acquaintances, the fact remains that it didn't cost the American public any money, or possibly their financial future. My instinct is that we will see a repeat of 1992 this November and I am boldly predicting that, barring any unforeseen ethical scandal, Senator Barrack Obama will be our first black President. The math is simply against the Republicans this time around. In most people's mind it will spell out like this; Two Bushs, two Wars with questionable motivations, two recessions, two banking scandals and now two bailouts. John McCain will never be able to totally separate himself from the policies and people he once supported. Shades of 1992? Yes, once again, "It's the economy, Stupid." H.C.